​​

Effective Date: 3/4/2025

Last Updated: 10/9/2025

1. DEFINITIONS

For the purposes of this Agreement, the following terms shall have the meanings assigned below. These definitions apply regardless of singular or plural usage:

1.1. "EventShifts" refers to the independent geopolitical research, analysis, and subscription-based information service operated by its lawful owners, officers, employees, agents, and contractors.

1.2. "Services" refers collectively to all content, materials, forecasts, data, alerts, analyses, communications, tools, and features offered by EventShifts through email, website access, or any other delivery method, whether now existing or hereafter developed.

1.3. "User", "Subscriber", "You", or "Your" refers to any individual or entity accessing or using the Services, whether registered, subscribed, or otherwise engaged with EventShifts.

1.4. "Content" refers to all written, audio, visual, digital, or other forms of information produced by EventShifts, including proprietary research, forecasts, and hypothetical scenarios.

1.5. "Prediction Markets" refers broadly to online or offline platforms where individuals speculate on the outcome of political, geopolitical, or other events, including but not limited to Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and any similar or future platform.

1.6. "Third-Party Services" means any external websites, tools, platforms, data feeds, or services not owned or controlled by EventShifts.

2. BINDING AGREEMENT

2.1. By accessing or using the Services, You acknowledge and agree that:
(a) You are at least eighteen (18) years of age, or the legal age of majority in Your jurisdiction;
(b) You have the full legal right, capacity, and authority to enter into this Agreement; and
(c) You are bound by every term and condition set forth herein.

2.2. If You do not agree with any part of this Agreement, You must discontinue all access to and use of the Services immediately. Continued use constitutes acceptance of any and all updates to these Terms issued by EventShifts.

3. INDEPENDENCE AND NON-AFFILIATION

3.1. EventShifts is a fully independent research and analysis entity. We are not owned, operated, endorsed, sponsored, or otherwise affiliated with any political party, government agency, election authority, financial institution, prediction market, betting exchange, or media organization.

3.2. Any mention of third-party platforms, events, companies, or organizations is for informational purposes only and does not constitute partnership, endorsement, or authorization.

3.3. No relationship, whether contractual, fiduciary, or otherwise, is formed between You and any third party through Your use of the Services.

4. SCOPE OF SERVICES

4.1. EventShifts provides informational and educational geopolitical research, including forecasts, market trend analysis, and scenario modeling for events that may impact prediction markets, betting markets, or other speculative markets.

4.2. EventShifts does not:
(a) Execute trades, place bets, or act as an intermediary for Users;
(b) Provide personalized financial, legal, tax, or investment advice;
(c) Guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any forecast or analysis;
(d) Promise any specific financial outcome, profit, or success rate.

4.3. All Services are for informational purposes only and are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, express or implied.

5. SUBSCRIPTIONS AND BILLING

5.1. Subscription fees are due in advance and automatically renew unless canceled in accordance with Section 9.

5.2. EventShifts reserves the right to change subscription pricing at any time, with notice provided to active Subscribers prior to renewal.

5.3. All fees are payable in United States Dollars (USD) unless otherwise specified.

6. REFUND POLICY

6.1. All payments to EventShifts are final and non-refundable, except in the rare case where EventShifts, at its sole and absolute discretion, determines that extraordinary circumstances warrant a refund.

6.2. Refunds will not be issued based on:
(a) Dissatisfaction with the Services;
(b) Perceived inaccuracy of forecasts;
(c) Market losses or missed opportunities;
(d) User’s inability to legally participate in markets in their jurisdiction;
(e) Failure to cancel a subscription prior to renewal;
(f) Non-use or lack of access to the Services after purchase;
(g) Changes in market conditions or events beyond the control of EventShifts.

6.3. Because EventShifts provides digital, time-sensitive, and informational products, all materials are deemed “delivered” once access is granted via website, email, or other authorized platform.

6.4. Users acknowledge that all payment transactions are final. Chargebacks, payment reversals, or disputes initiated through a financial institution may result in immediate suspension or termination of Services. EventShifts reserves the right to dispute any chargeback and to provide proof of delivery to the payment processor or financial institution.

6.5. Any refund issued under extraordinary circumstances shall not establish a precedent or entitlement for future refunds.

7. USER RESPONSIBILITIES AND LEGAL COMPLIANCE

7.1. You are solely responsible for:
(a) Determining whether your use of the Services complies with all applicable laws and regulations in your jurisdiction;
(b) Any and all trades, bets, or market positions you take;
(c) Any taxes, fees, or reporting obligations arising from your activities.

7.2. EventShifts disclaims all liability for any legal, regulatory, or financial consequences resulting from your use of the Services.

8. INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS

8.1. All EventShifts Content is the exclusive property of EventShifts and is protected under applicable copyright, trademark, trade secret, and intellectual property laws.

8.2. You are granted a limited, non-exclusive, non-transferable, revocable license to access and use EventShifts Content for personal, non-commercial purposes only.

8.3. Unauthorized reproduction, distribution, resale, or sharing of EventShifts Content is strictly prohibited and may result in immediate termination of access, civil liability, and criminal prosecution to the fullest extent permitted by law.

8.4. You may not share, forward, copy, resell, or otherwise distribute EventShifts trade recommendations, market analysis, or forecasts to any third party, including through online platforms, social media, private groups, or paid channels.

8.5. Any redistribution or sale of EventShifts trade ideas, reports, or data—whether directly or indirectly—is a violation of this Agreement and may result in permanent suspension of access, forfeiture of subscription fees, and potential legal action for damages and injunctive relief.

9. CANCELLATION POLICY

9.1. You may cancel your subscription at any time by written notice to EventShifts via email at info@eventshifts.com or through the provided cancellation form available on the EventShifts website.

9.2. Cancellations must be received before the start of your next billing cycle to avoid additional charges. Any cancellation received after renewal will apply to the following billing period.

9.3. EventShifts may terminate your subscription or access to the Services, with or without notice, in cases of:
(a) Violation of these Terms;
(b) Misuse of Content;
(c) Unauthorized sharing, resale, or redistribution of proprietary information or trade recommendations;
(d) Payment disputes, chargebacks, or reversed transactions;
(e) Fraudulent activity or misrepresentation;
(f) Conduct deemed harmful to EventShifts, its users, or its reputation.

9.4. Upon termination for cause, all licenses and access granted to you shall immediately cease. You will not be entitled to any refund or credit for unused subscription time, and EventShifts reserves the right to permanently restrict your access to future services or offerings.

9.5. EventShifts also reserves the right to discontinue or modify any aspect of the Services at its discretion, with reasonable notice provided to active subscribers where applicable.

10. NO GUARANTEE OF RESULTS

10.1. EventShifts makes no guarantee, representation, or warranty that any forecast, insight, or recommendation will result in profit, success, or a favorable outcome. All analyses, forecasts, and market opinions are inherently uncertain and speculative in nature.

10.2. You acknowledge that markets are inherently volatile and influenced by factors outside EventShifts’ control, including political developments, macroeconomic conditions, natural events, and the actions of third parties.

10.3. You assume full responsibility for any financial loss, missed opportunity, or adverse outcome resulting from your decisions, including reliance on EventShifts research or recommendations.

10.4. EventShifts does not warrant or represent that its information is free from error, interruption, or delay, or that any data provided will be accurate, complete, or current at all times.

10.5. All trading and market participation involve significant risk of loss. You should only trade or invest with funds you can afford to lose. EventShifts strongly recommends that Users consult with qualified financial, legal, and tax professionals before making any investment or trading decisions.

10.6. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any examples of trades, profits, or outcomes shown through EventShifts materials are for illustrative and educational purposes only.

10.7. EventShifts shall not be held liable for any decisions made or actions taken based on the information provided through its Services, nor for any consequential, incidental, or indirect damages arising from the use or reliance on its Content.

11. LIMITATION OF LIABILITY

11.1. To the fullest extent permitted by law, EventShifts, its owners, officers, employees, contractors, agents, and affiliates shall not be liable for any:
(a) Direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, punitive, or special damages;
(b) Loss of profits, revenue, opportunities, business, or goodwill;
(c) Claims arising from negligence, breach of contract, misrepresentation, statutory duty, or tort of any kind;
(d) Technical failures, delays, data losses, or service interruptions;
(e) Actions, decisions, or omissions by any third-party platforms, payment processors, or prediction markets.

11.2. In no event shall EventShifts’ total aggregate liability, whether in contract, tort, or otherwise, exceed the total amount paid by you for Services in the thirty (30) days immediately preceding the event giving rise to the claim.

11.3. You acknowledge that the limitations set forth in this section form an essential basis of this Agreement and that EventShifts would not provide the Services without these limitations of liability.

12. INDEMNIFICATION

You agree to indemnify, defend, and hold harmless EventShifts, along with its owners, officers, employees, contractors, agents, partners, successors, and affiliates, from and against any and all claims, liabilities, damages, losses, costs, or expenses (including reasonable attorney’s fees and court costs) arising from or related to:
(a) Your use or misuse of the Services;
(b) Your violation of these Terms;
(c) Your violation of any applicable laws, rules, or regulations;
(d) Any breach of representations, warranties, or obligations made by You under this Agreement;
(e) Any third-party claim arising out of or related to Your actions, content, or communications in connection with the Services.

13. PRIVACY POLICY

13.1. EventShifts collects only the personal information necessary to deliver and maintain the Services, which may include your name, email address, payment details, and account preferences.

13.2. EventShifts does not sell, rent, or trade your personal information to any third parties.

13.3. All data is stored securely using commercially reasonable safeguards and is used solely for the purpose of providing, improving, and maintaining the Services, processing payments, and communicating with you.

13.4. By using the Services, you consent to EventShifts’ collection, processing, and use of personal data in accordance with this Privacy Policy.

13.5. EventShifts complies with applicable data protection laws, including the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA), where applicable. Users may contact EventShifts to request access to, correction of, or deletion of their personal information, subject to legal and contractual limitations.

14. EXTERNAL LINKS

EventShifts may include links to third-party websites, platforms, or services for informational or reference purposes. EventShifts has no control over, and assumes no responsibility for, the content, privacy policies, security measures, or practices of any third-party sites or services.

Your access to and use of such third-party resources is entirely at your own risk. EventShifts expressly disclaims all liability arising from or related to your use of, or reliance on, any third-party websites or content.

15. DISPUTE RESOLUTION AND ARBITRATION

15.1. Any dispute, controversy, or claim arising out of or relating to these Terms, Your use of the Services, or any relationship between You and EventShifts shall be resolved exclusively through final and binding arbitration administered by the American Arbitration Association (AAA) in accordance with its Commercial Arbitration Rules.

15.2. The arbitration shall:
(a) Be conducted in Orange County, California, or another location mutually agreed upon in writing;
(b) Be heard by a single neutral arbitrator experienced in commercial and technology agreements;
(c) Permit the arbitrator to award any relief available under applicable law, subject to the limitations set forth in these Terms; and
(d) Result in a final and binding award that may be entered and enforced in any court of competent jurisdiction.

15.3. You waive any right to participate in or initiate a class action, collective action, private attorney general action, or other joint or representative proceeding against EventShifts. All claims and disputes must be brought on an individual basis.

15.4. The Federal Arbitration Act (FAA) shall govern the interpretation and enforcement of this arbitration provision. Nothing in this Section prevents either Party from seeking temporary or preliminary injunctive relief in court to protect its rights pending completion of arbitration.

16. FORCE MAJEURE

16.1. EventShifts shall not be liable for any delay, interruption, or failure to perform its obligations under these Terms due to events or circumstances beyond its reasonable control. Such events include, but are not limited to:
(a) Acts of God, natural disasters, or extreme weather conditions;
(b) Epidemics, pandemics, or other public health emergencies;
(c) War, terrorism, civil unrest, or government action;
(d) Cyberattacks, data breaches, or system failures;
(e) Labor disputes, strikes, or shortages; and
(f) Power, internet, or utility outages.

16.2. If a force majeure event occurs, EventShifts’ obligations shall be suspended for the duration of the event, and performance times shall be extended accordingly.

16.3. EventShifts will make commercially reasonable efforts to resume operations as soon as practicable but shall have no liability for any resulting delay, data loss, or service disruption.

17. GOVERNING LAW

17.1. These Terms shall be governed by and construed in accordance with the laws of the State of California, without regard to its conflict-of-law principles.

17.2. You agree that any court proceedings to enforce an arbitration award or to obtain injunctive relief shall be brought exclusively in the state or federal courts located in Orange County, California.

17.3. You hereby consent to the personal jurisdiction of such courts and waive any objection to venue or claim of inconvenient forum.

18. SEVERABILITY

18.1. If any provision of these Terms is determined to be invalid, illegal, or unenforceable by a court or arbitrator of competent jurisdiction, such provision shall be enforced to the maximum extent permissible, and the remaining provisions shall remain in full force and effect.

18.2. The invalidity or unenforceability of one provision shall not affect the validity of any other provision herein.

19. ENTIRE AGREEMENT

19.1. These Terms, together with the Privacy Policy and any additional legal notices or agreements incorporated by reference, constitute the entire agreement between You and EventShifts regarding the Services.

19.2. These Terms supersede all prior or contemporaneous communications, proposals, or understandings, whether oral or written.

19.3. No waiver or modification of these Terms shall be effective unless made in writing and signed by an authorized representative of EventShifts.

20. ASSUMPTION OF RISK

20.1. By subscribing to or using EventShifts’ Services, You expressly acknowledge and agree that all forms of market activity — including but not limited to political forecasting, event trading, prediction market participation, commodity speculation, or any similar transaction — involve substantial risk of loss.

20.2. You acknowledge that:
(a) The value of market positions can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably;
(b) You may sustain a partial or total loss of capital;
(c) Past results are not indicative of future performance;
(d) Events, market behavior, and outcomes may differ materially from EventShifts’ forecasts, projections, or analyses;
(e) Market conditions and external events may cause outcomes that no analysis or model can predict; and
(f) You bear full responsibility for determining the suitability of any trade or market activity.

20.3. You voluntarily assume all risks associated with market participation and agree that EventShifts bears no responsibility for any financial loss, missed opportunity, legal penalty, data error, or other adverse consequence arising from Your actions, reliance, or use of the Services.

20.4. EventShifts is not responsible for any technical, network, or data delivery failures that may affect Your ability to act on market information or trade recommendations.

21. NO RELIANCE

21.1. You acknowledge and agree that:
(a) EventShifts does not provide personalized or individualized advice tailored to Your financial circumstances, legal obligations, or investment goals;
(b) The Services and Content are provided strictly for informational and educational purposes;
(c) You are solely responsible for evaluating the appropriateness, accuracy, and relevance of any information provided before taking any financial or trading action; and
(d) EventShifts assumes no duty of care or fiduciary responsibility toward any User or Subscriber.

21.2. You further agree that:
(a) No Content provided by EventShifts shall be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to enter into any trade, investment, or financial transaction;
(b) You will not hold EventShifts liable for any decisions You make, regardless of whether those decisions were influenced in part or in whole by EventShifts’ Content, forecasts, or communications; and
(c) You have not relied, and will not rely, on EventShifts as a substitute for Your own independent judgment, due diligence, or professional advice from licensed financial, legal, tax, or investment advisers.

21.3. You understand and agree that all Content produced by EventShifts reflects opinions and interpretations as of the date published and may change without notice based on evolving data or new market conditions.

22. NON-DISTRIBUTION OF CONTENT

22.1. You agree not to share, forward, resell, reproduce, copy, publish, or otherwise distribute any EventShifts Content, in part or in full, to any person or entity without EventShifts’ prior written consent.

22.2. Any unauthorized distribution of EventShifts Content, whether for commercial or non-commercial purposes, shall be deemed a material breach of these Terms and may result in:
(a) Immediate termination of your subscription and access to the Services;
(b) Forfeiture of any subscription fees paid; and
(c) Civil and/or criminal legal action seeking damages and injunctive relief.

22.3. EventShifts employs proprietary tracking mechanisms, watermarking, and digital identifiers to detect and monitor potential unauthorized sharing. By using the Services, you expressly consent to the use of such measures for fraud prevention and enforcement purposes.

22.4. You acknowledge that EventShifts trade recommendations, forecasts, and research are confidential and intended solely for the subscriber’s personal use. Sharing such information with third parties or public forums constitutes a violation of these Terms.

23. MARKET PLATFORM DISCLAIMER

23.1. EventShifts is an independent research entity and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in partnership with any prediction market, betting exchange, broker, or trading platform.

23.2. The inclusion of any market name, price, odds, or example within EventShifts Content is for informational and illustrative purposes only and does not constitute an endorsement, recommendation, partnership, or authorization.

23.3. You acknowledge that all market activity, including trades, positions, and transactions, are executed at your sole discretion and on third-party platforms over which EventShifts has no control.

23.4. EventShifts does not guarantee the accuracy, availability, or reliability of data obtained from external platforms and shall not be held liable for any errors, omissions, or changes to such data.

24. TIMING OF INFORMATION

24.1. While EventShifts strives to deliver information, alerts, and analyses in a timely manner, you acknowledge that delivery may be delayed due to factors including, but not limited to: internet latency, email delays, third-party system outages, content queueing, or network disruptions beyond EventShifts’ control.

24.2. Any delay in receipt of Content may materially affect market conditions and trading outcomes. EventShifts shall not be held liable for any losses, missed opportunities, or adverse outcomes resulting from such delays.

24.3. You acknowledge that time-sensitive insights, forecasts, or signals are provided on a best-effort basis and that EventShifts does not guarantee real-time or uninterrupted delivery of any information.

25. NO GUARANTEE OF AVAILABILITY

25.1. EventShifts does not guarantee that the Services will be available, uninterrupted, or error-free at all times. Access may be temporarily or permanently interrupted for maintenance, upgrades, server migration, system failures, technical issues, cyber incidents, or other reasons beyond EventShifts’ control.

25.2. EventShifts reserves the right to modify, suspend, or discontinue any part of the Services at any time without prior notice.

25.3. EventShifts shall not be liable for any loss, damage, delay, or missed opportunity resulting from temporary or permanent unavailability of the Services, including the inability to access Content, receive alerts, or execute trades based on time-sensitive information.

25.4. You acknowledge that internet-based and data-driven services inherently depend on external systems and networks, and you agree that EventShifts bears no responsibility for any service interruptions caused by third-party failures, hosting providers, or communication networks.

26. REGULATORY COMPLIANCE

26.1. You are solely responsible for ensuring that your use of the Services — including participation in any prediction markets, event markets, trading platforms, or speculative financial activities — is lawful under the laws and regulations applicable in your jurisdiction.

26.2. EventShifts does not provide guidance, legal advice, or assurance regarding the legality, regulatory status, or permissibility of such activities in your location or under your national or regional laws.

26.3. EventShifts makes no representation that its Services or Content are appropriate, permitted, or available for use in all geographic locations. Accessing or using the Services from jurisdictions where such activities are illegal is strictly prohibited.

26.4. Any participation in markets or speculative activity in violation of applicable law is undertaken solely at your own risk. EventShifts disclaims all responsibility for any penalties, enforcement actions, or adverse legal consequences that may result from such activity.

27. TESTIMONIALS AND PERFORMANCE EXAMPLES

27.1. Any testimonials, case studies, examples, or performance illustrations provided by EventShifts are for informational and illustrative purposes only and do not guarantee or imply future results or performance.

27.2. You acknowledge that past performance is not indicative of future outcomes, and that all markets, including event and prediction markets, are inherently volatile and subject to sudden and unpredictable change.

27.3. Any hypothetical or simulated examples provided by EventShifts are based on historical data or modeling assumptions and may not reflect actual trading conditions or results. Such examples are intended solely to demonstrate the methodology or analytical approach of EventShifts.

27.4. You agree not to interpret any testimonial or performance statement as a promise, assurance, or representation of potential earnings or success.

28. NO CLASS ACTIONS

28.1. To the maximum extent permitted by law, you agree that any dispute resolution proceeding, whether in arbitration or court, shall be conducted solely on an individual basis and not as a class, consolidated, or representative action.

28.2. You waive any right to participate in or initiate a class action lawsuit, class-wide arbitration, collective proceeding, or any other representative claim against EventShifts.

28.3. If any portion of this section is found unenforceable, the remainder of this provision shall remain in full force and effect to the extent permitted by law.

29. SURVIVAL OF TERMS

29.1. Any provisions of these Terms that by their nature should survive termination, cancellation, or expiration of your subscription shall remain in full force and effect.

29.2. This includes, without limitation, provisions related to intellectual property, confidentiality, indemnification, disclaimers, limitations of liability, governing law, dispute resolution, and non-distribution of content.

29.3. Termination of your subscription or access to the Services shall not relieve you of any accrued payment obligations or liabilities owed to EventShifts under these Terms.

30. AMENDMENTS

30.1. EventShifts reserves the right to modify, amend, or update these Terms at any time without prior notice, except where applicable law requires such notice. Any such modification shall become effective immediately upon posting to the EventShifts website or upon other communication to users.

30.2. Continued access to or use of the Services after the posting or communication of updated Terms constitutes your acknowledgment and acceptance of the revised Terms.

30.3. EventShifts encourages users to review these Terms periodically to remain informed of any updates or changes that may affect their rights and obligations.​

31. NO WAIVER

31.1. Failure by EventShifts to enforce any provision of these Terms shall not be construed as a waiver of any right or provision.
31.2. Any waiver of enforcement must be made in writing and signed by an authorized representative of EventShifts.
31.3. A waiver in one instance shall not constitute a continuing waiver or apply to any future instance of noncompliance.

32. ASSIGNMENT

32.1. EventShifts may assign, transfer, or delegate its rights and obligations under these Terms, in whole or in part, without restriction or notice to users.

32.2. Users may not assign or transfer their rights or obligations under these Terms without prior written consent from EventShifts.

32.3. Any unauthorized assignment or transfer by a user shall be deemed null and void.

32.4. These Terms shall be binding upon and inure to the benefit of the parties and their respective successors, heirs, and permitted assigns.

33. FEES AND COLLECTIONS

33.1. You agree to reimburse EventShifts for any collection costs, chargeback fees, or legal expenses incurred in recovering overdue payments or enforcing these Terms.

33.2. EventShifts reserves the right to report delinquent accounts to payment processors, financial institutions, or credit agencies, and to pursue all lawful remedies available under applicable law.

33.3. In the event of payment disputes, EventShifts’ transaction and delivery records shall be deemed conclusive evidence of access and fulfillment.

33.4. Users who initiate fraudulent chargebacks or payment disputes may have their accounts permanently terminated and may be subject to legal action for damages and recovery of costs.

34. CONTACT INFORMATION

34.1. If you have any questions regarding these Terms, your subscription, or EventShifts’ policies, you may contact us at:

Email: info@eventshifts.com
34.2. EventShifts will make reasonable efforts to respond to inquiries within a commercially reasonable timeframe but is under no obligation to provide personalized support or advice related to financial, legal, or trading matters.

​